MLB Betting Pick of the Day: Best Baseball Pick Today 8/16/21

Here is our best MLB Betting Pick of the Day, including the Best Baseball Pick Today, 8/16/21. All odds for August 16 MLB bet picks were obtained from BetMGM.

After two losers to start last week, we ended the week on a high note with a winner on Thursday. That’s why cappers always preach patience. It’s a long season, and if you’ve been tailing me throughout, you’d be up right now!

That said, here are some tips for my Best Baseball Pick Today 8/16/21.

  • Overall: 29-21 (+4.16 units)
  • Team Totals: 11-7 (+1.62 units)
  • First 5 IP Bets: 14-8-3 (+4.39 units)
  • Moneylines: 3-3 (-0.5 units)
  • Totals: 1-2 (-1.35 units)

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MLB Betting Pick of the Day: Best Baseball Pick Today 8/16/21

Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays (7:10 p.m. ET)

  • Probable Pitchers: BAL RHP Matt Harvey @ TB RHP Collin McHugh

Rays Over 4.5 Runs (-150)

Wager: 1.40 units

prop bet

-150

Tampa Bay Rays To Score Over 4.5 Runs (TBR vs. BAL)

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Bet $20, Payout $33

The Baltimore Orioles’ pitching staff is in shambles, allowing 9.5 runs per game during their current 11-game losing streak. They’ve also yielded at least five runs in 12 of their 13 games this month and have the worst ERA (5.79) in baseball this year, getting beat up on a consistent basis.

That does not bode well for their road matchup tonight with the first-place Tampa Bay Rays, who currently lead them by a whopping 32 games in the AL East standings. Despite dropping their last two games against the Minnesota Twins, the Rays are still averaging a healthy 6.2 runs per game in August. They’ve also destroyed the Orioles in head-to-head play this year, going 11-1 while averaging 7.8 runs per game.

Tampa Bay is in a prime spot to bounce back and score some runs against Matt Harvey, who’s 6-11 with a 6.10 ERA and 1.56 WHIP this year. He’s pitched well in the second half but recorded only five outs in his lone start against the Rays this year, getting lit up for six runs on seven hits (including two homers) in his shortest outing of the season.

Despite his recent success, Harvey still has a lackluster 5.33 xFIP and 5.6 K/9 rate over the last 30 days. He’s been getting lucky with a .232 BABIP, plus he’s coming off a mediocre outing against the Detroit Tigers in which he allowed three runs on eight hits and three walks in five innings.

Tampa Bay, on the other hand, has been red-hot against righties and will likely stack lefties against Harvey. Their projected lineup of seven lefties along with Randy Arozarena and Nelson Cruz has a .241 ISO and a .347 wOBA. They’re also walking 8.3 percent of the time and striking out less than 22 percent of the time.

Look for the Rays to get back on track at home against Harvey, who’s allowed at least four runs in 10 of his 23 starts this year. After that, they’ll just need to score one against Baltimore’s mediocre bullpen, making this a promising bet to kick off the week.

Thanks for reading our MLB Betting Pick of the Day: Best Baseball Pick Today 8/16/21! Also check out our August 16 YRFI Bet.

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Schedule & Odds

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NBA Betting News

  • Celtics +300 to win NBA Title

    The Boston Celtics are +300 to win the 2021-22 NBA Championship, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The Celtics are +300 ahead of their home date with the Warriors for Game 6. We will see a considerable odds shift if the Celtics can win Game 6 on their homecourt. Boston was +310 after Game 5.

  • Celtics vs. Warriors over/under listed at 210

    The over/under for Game 6 of the NBA Finals between the Boston Celtics and the Golden State Warriors is listed at 210, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The total for this contest sits at 210, down from the 210.5 it opened at. 60 percent of the public action has come on the over.

  • Warriors -400 to win NBA Championship

    The Golden State Warriors are -400 to win the NBA Championship, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    Golden State now sits at a prohibitive -400 to win the NBA Championship. For comparison, Stephen Curry MVP is -360. Andrew Wiggins, the dark horse to steal the award with a big close-out game, sits at +2000.

  • Celtics +310 to win NBA Championship

    The Boston Celtics are +310 to win the 2021-22 NBA Championship, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The Celtics peaked as high as high as -230 prior to Game 3 and now sit at an attractive +310. Boston entered the season at +4000. The odds could swing wildly again if Boston wins Game 6.

  • Warriors vs. Celtics over/under listed at 210.5

    The over/under for Game 5 of the NBA Finals between the Golden State Warriors and the Boston Celtics is listed at 210.5, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The total for this contest sits at 210.5, down from the 212.5 it opened at. 72 percent of the public action has come on the over.