Here is our best MLB Betting Pick of the Day, including the Best Baseball Pick Today, 8/10/21. All odds for August 10 MLB bet picks were obtained from DraftKings.
We’ve got a full slate of games today, but unfortunately, rain might wash away some of them. Either way, I’ve got a spot that I like where the weather won’t be a factor thanks to a ballpark with a roof!
Here are some tips for my Best Baseball Pick Today 8/10/21.
- Overall: 28-20 (+4.36 units)
- Team Totals: 10-7 (+0.62 units)
- First 5 IP Bets: 14-7-3 (+5.59 units)
- Moneylines: 3-3 (-0.5 units)
- Totals: 1-2 (-1.35 units)
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MLB Betting Pick of the Day: Best Baseball Pick Today 8/10/21
Colorado Rockies @ Houston Astros (8:10 p.m. ET)
- Probable Pitchers: COL RHP Jon Gray @ HOU RHP Jake Odorizzi
Rockies Over 1.5 Runs In 1st 5 Innings (-120)
Wager: 1.20 units
I never advise consistently betting on teams that are out of the playoff push, but sometimes the numbers just align and demand your attention.
I’m betting on Colorado to score two runs in the first five innings tonight. I know the narrative that they stink on the road and can’t score runs on the road and all that. But they’re going up against Jake Odorizzi (4-6, 4.95 ERA) and have a really solid matchup against him.
Odorizzi just allowed seven runs in three innings in his most recent start and has allowed at least two runs in each of his last six outings. In the last 30 days, he has a 7.07 xFIP along with a 16.3 K% and 11.3 BB%. He’s also struggling to induce grounders while allowing an absurdly high 50.9% hard-hit rate.
The last four starts have been particularly ugly for Odorizzi, as he has an 8.82 ERA, 1.84 WHIP, 13:9 K/BB ratio, and eight home runs allowed in 16 1/3 innings. He’s also been getting torched by opposing hitters for a .300/.388/.729 batting line, which reflects all the hard contact he’s been giving up.
The Rockies, meanwhile, are coming into this game on a roll. They’re 5-2 and averaging eight runs per game in August. Colorado has been one of baseball’s best offenses in the second half, batting .276/.343/.498 while averaging 5.9 runs per game.
Accordingly, Odorizzi is going to be hard-pressed to limit the Rockies to less than two runs over the first five innings. Take the over here.