MLB Betting Pick of the Day: Best Baseball Pick Today 7/26/21

Here is our best MLB Betting Pick of the Day, including the Best Baseball Pick Today, 7/26/21. All odds for July 26 MLB bet picks were obtained from DraftKings.

Tonight’s card is short but I’ve found some value! This week features plenty of exciting divisional rivalries and hopefully that will wake up most lineups around the league.

Here are some tips for my Best Baseball Pick Today 7/26/21.

  • Overall: 24-18 (+2.81 units)
  • Team Totals: 10-7 (+0.62 units)
  • First 5 IP Bets: 10-6-3 (+2.99 units)
  • Moneylines: 3-3 (-0.5 units)
  • Totals: 1-1 (-0.3 units)

MLB Betting Pick of the Day: Best Baseball Pick Today 7/26/21

Toronto Blue Jays @ Boston Red Sox (7:10 p.m. ET)

  • Probable Pitchers: TOR RHP Thomas Hatch @ BOS RHP Nick Pivetta

Over 11 Runs (-105)

Wager: 1.40 units

prop bet

-105

Over 11 Total Runs Scored (TOR @ BOS)

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Bet $20, Payout $39

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Nick Pivetta has been the definition of an average starting pitcher this year with a 4.37 ERA, a 1.32 WHIP, and a 2.5 K/BB ratio in 19 starts. He’s come back to earth after a hot start, yielding a 5.22 ERA, an .831 opponent OPS, and 12 home runs over his last 11 outings.

Pivetta has struggled in his three starts against the Blue Jays this year with a 7.56 ERA and a 1.80 WHIP over 16 2/3 innings. In fact, Toronto just tagged him for 11 hits in his most recent appearance last Monday — the most hits he’s allowed in a start this season.

The Red Sox righty has also been a disaster at home this season with a 5.62 ERA, a 1.49 WHIP, and 11 home runs allowed in 10 starts at Fenway Park. That doesn’t bode well for tonight’s matchup against the Jays, who rank top 3 in the American League in batting average, on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and home runs.

On the other side, Thomas Hatch will make his first start of the season for the Blue Jays. Hatch pitched well after debuting for Toronto last year with a 2.73 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP in 17 appearances. Only one of those outings was a start, however, and he finished with mediocre peripherals such as a 7.9 K/9 rate, a 4.4 BB/9 rate, and a 4.14 FIP.

Hatch will have his hands full with the first-place Red Sox, who just took three out of four against the New York Yankees. Similar to Toronto, Boston features a dangerous lineup that ranks among the top of the AL in numerous offensive categories, including runs, hits, and OPS.

With first-pitch temperatures projected to be around 84 degrees, the ball will likely be flying tonight. All signs point to a high-scoring slugfest between two elite offenses, which is why we’re betting on at least 11 total runs.

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