For Sunday, Jason Radowitz has your Bucks vs. Suns Game 3 Bet of the Day: Best Bets for the NBA Finals. All odds for NBA Bet of the Day: Best Bets Today 7/11/21 were provided by our friends at BetMGM.
The Phoenix Suns are up two games to none against the Milwaukee Bucks in the NBA Finals. Things have gone well for the Suns. They’ve shown off their depth and they’ve shown off clutch shooting. On the other hand, the Bucks look lost. They look lost shooting the ball and look perplexed defending.
The Suns shot 50 percent from downtown against the Bucks going 20-of-40 from long range. Meanwhile, Giannis Antetokounmpo scored 42 points for the Bucks but really didn’t get much help from the rest of the Milwaukee roster. Jrue Holiday has scored just 27 points combined in the first two NBA Finals games after scoring 27 alone in Game 6 of the Eastern Conference Finals clincher. Khris Middleton shot 5-of-16 from the floor and scored 11 points as the second “star" of the Bucks.
While the Suns are up two games in the NBA Finals, there are some good things to come out of the Bucks losses. Holiday and Middleton combined for 15 assists and 11 rebounds in Game 2 so while they’ve struggled to score consistently, at least they’re doing other valuable things on the court.
The other thing is Giannis Antetokounmpo. After hyper-extending his knee in the Eastern Conference Finals, he looks just fine in the NBA Finals after putting together two big-time double-double games for the Bucks in the Finals. With Giannis healthy and the Bucks traveling back to Milwaukee, things can change in this series quickly.
Bucks vs Suns Game 3 Bet of the Day: NBA Finals Game 3 Best Bets
The Suns are deep and they’re showing that in this series. In Game 1, the Suns had five players in double figures with two of those players coming off the bench. In the second game, the Suns entire starting lineup scored in double figures, this time with Devin Booker leading the way with 31 points on 7-of-12 from long range.
Going into this series, we talked about the Bucks and their inability to defend the three. In the second game, the Suns shot 20-of-40 from long range and 48.9 percent from the field. While the Suns didn’t get to the line as much, it didn’t matter as the Bucks shot just 45.2 percent in the game along with 65.2 percent from the foul line.
The Bucks are going to need to play better defense and find more contributors on offense besides Giannis.
With the Bucks heading home, they’ll be four-point favorites on Sunday and need to find a way to win Game 3. Milwaukee won’t want to go down 3-0 in the NBA Finals, especially on their home floor.
The Bucks found a way to get to the line more and their guards, like Holiday, were more aggressive in the second game. The aggressiveness was smart, but the execution wasn’t there. The Bucks missed countless layups, shot under 30 percent from long range, and missed eight free throws, even after getting more opportunities at the line.
At home, it’ll be quiet when the Bucks are shooting and you could only imagine that’ll be a boost to this Bucks offense right now. Less pressure, at home, with nobody booing them is something they certainly need.
NBA Finals Game 3 Bet of the Day: Jrue Holiday
Over 32.5 Points + Assists + Rebounds (-115)
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This was my favorite bet for Game 2 and the over/under was sitting at 33.5. Holiday scored 17 points, assisted on seven baskets, and rebounded five misses for a total of 29. The man took 21 shots and only had seven field goals. He missed easy layups, but the biggest thing was that he was aggressive. I expect that same type of mentality in this game, but most of all, I expect execution from Holiday.
If he’s going to take anywhere close to 20 shots on Milwaukee’s home floor, he’ll get the job done. After all, Holiday is playing about 40 minutes per contest. With 20+ shots and about 40 minutes per game, Holiday’s points, rebounds, and assists numbers are still too low. I don’t care if he didn’t win this last game. He had the opportunity to and will have that same chance in this one.
Holiday seriously can’t do worse than he did in those first two games and with the Bucks counting on their big three of Middleton, Holiday, and Antetokounmpo to perform, Holiday is going to ball out and become a big playmaker.
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NBA Finals Game 3 Bet of the Day: Deandre Ayton
Over 27.5 Points + Rebounds (-120)
NBA Finals Game 3 Bet of the Day: Giannis Antetokounmpo
Over 12.5 Rebounds (-130)
NBA Finals Game 3 Bet of the Day: Devin Booker
Over 2.5 Threes Made (-115)
Devin Booker has ice in his veins. There’s no better way to put this. In the first game of the Finals, Booker struggled going 1-of-8 from downtown. But in the second game, he went off knocking down 7-of-12 from long range. In two games, he’s taken 20 three-pointers yet his threes made line is set at 2.5.
Booker is playing over 40 minutes a game and taking an average of 10 threes per contest in the NBA Finals. What’s crazy is that this season, Booker shot better on the road from long range. He went 36.1 percent from deep on the road and just 31.9 percent from long range at home.
So Booker shoots better on the road and will go up against a Bucks defense that has struggled to defend the three all year long. The Suns just took 40 three-pointers in their last game and Booker took 12 of them. They shot 50 percent from three and Booker was 58.3 percent.
Knowing that Booker is going to be taking around 7-10 threes in each contest is more than enough for me to ride his over on threes made here.
Milwaukee Bucks: Game 3 Keys To Victory
- Defend the Three: The Bucks have been awful defending the three all season long and it showed in Game 2 with the Suns going 20-for-40 from deep. The Bucks need to figure out a game plan and find a way to defend the three-point line better. Still, it’s easier said than done. The Bucks shut down Deandre Ayton inside but then allowed a lot of action from the three-point line. It’s extremely hard to defend both the interior and exterior against the Suns but it’s going to be key to stop the Suns from shooting a high percentage from deep.
- Make Foul Shots: The Bucks lost Game 2 by ten points. They also missed eight free throws in the game. At home, it’s a must. They have to make foul shots to stick around in this game.
- Jrue Holiday and Khris Middleton have to perform: Giannis Antetokounmpo can’t do it all by himself. He’s put up two monster double-double games in the Finals, but with no supporting cast around him, the Bucks have taken two losses on the road. Those two players are going to be playing for Team USA in the Olympics. They have to perform to give the Bucks a chance. Both players need to score 20+ points along with Antetokounmpo.
Phoenix Suns: Game 3 Keys To Victory
- Keep Shooting: Our Game 2 Keys to Victory was for the Suns to stop rushing their shooting. They listened and shot 50 percent from downtown on 40 attempts while also going 48.9 percent from the field. This Suns team has plenty of players capable of having a big day. Find the hot hands and keep shooting.
- Get to the line more: Because the Suns were nailing a bunch of threes, they stayed away from driving and being more aggressive. This is a team that thrives when they’re getting to the line. They’re able to slow the game down and get easy points from the line. On the road, it’ll be harder to hit shots with fans screaming in your face. So this game, balance it out. Don’t take 40 threes but instead, take 30 and get to the foul line more.
- Don’t fix what’s not broken: At the end of the day, roster vs roster, the Suns are better. They just got to be themselves and don’t get lost in the moment. It’s a young team and Chris Paul. They’ll be on the road and will need to keep their composure. Limit mistakes and just keep going.