Canadiens vs Lightning Game 3 Prediction: 2021 NHL Stanley Cup Finals Pick

Here is The Game Day’s pregame analysis and prediction for Game 3 of the 2021 NHL Stanley Cup Finals between the Montreal Canadiens and Tampa Bay Lightning, which will start at 8 p.m. ET on Friday and air on NBC.

Canadiens vs Lightning Game 3 Prediction: 2021 NHL Stanley Cup Finals Pick

Game 1 and Game 2 were both decisive victories for the Tampa Bay Lightning, who now hold a 2-0 lead in the series. In Game 1, the Lightning rode a pair of Nikita Kucherov goals in the third period to a 5-1 victory. In Game 2, the goaltending work of Andrei Vasilevskiy remained stellar, limiting Montreal to one goal once again.

Will the Canadiens bounce back to win Game 3 at home? Or will the Lightning win again to take a commanding 3-0 series lead? The Game Day breaks it down here in our Game 3 preview.

All Canadiens-Lightning Game 3 odds, lines, and bets are courtesy of BetMGM. BetMGM offers a Risk-Free Bet for up to $600 for new players.


Canadiens vs Lightning Game 3 Analysis

The Lightning have looked like the superior team for the first two games of this series and will try to continue that trend as they head to Montreal for Game 3. Meanwhile, leaving Tampa Bay could be exactly what the Canadiens need to get back into this series, as they’ve won five of their last six home games in the playoffs.

Nikita Kucherov, Steven Stamkos, and Brayden Point were nearly non-existent in Game 2 from a stat sheet perspective, but the Lightning were still able to get it going offensively and finish with three goals. If that trio can do any kind of damage in Game 3, we could be looking at another victory for Tampa Bay.

Canadiens goalie Carey Price will need to have a better effort on Friday night after allowing eight goals over the first two games. Montreal’s offense will also need to step up after managing just two goals during the first two games.


Montreal Canadiens Keys To Win

  • Better goaltending
  • Continue applying defensive pressure
  • Limit Kucherov, Point, and Stamkos again
  • Focus on offensive-zone puck possession

Tampa Bay Lightning Keys To Win

  • Don’t step off the gas offensively
  • Diversify looks at the net
  • Keep the puck in the offensive zone
  • Limit power-play opportunities for Montreal
Canadiens vs Lightning Game 3 Prediction: 2021 NHL Stanley Cup Finals Pick

The Tampa Bay Lightning are already halfway to winning the 2021 NHL Stanley Cup Finals. (Image: USA Today)


Canadiens vs Lightning Game 3 Prediction

Lightning Win Game 3, 3-2

I strongly believe the Lightning are on their way to sweeping the Canadiens. The move to Montreal could revitalize the Canadiens enough to stick around in this series, but the better team should still prevail. Game 3 will likely be closer than the first two games, but Tampa Bay is just too good for Montreal to stop.


Canadiens vs Lightning Game 3 Bet Pick

Lightning To Win Game 3 On The Moneyline (-135)

moneyline

-135

Lightning To Defeat Canadiens In Game 3 (2021 Stanley Cup Finals)

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The Lightning play such a high-octane style of hockey that the Canadiens are simply not capable of countering defensively. Tampa Bay has also been excellent on the road in these playoffs, going 6-3 away from home. Montreal appears overmatched in this series and will be hard-pressed to stop the bleeding tonight.

As mentioned above, I think this game will be closer than the first two and could end up going to overtime, so I’m playing it safe with the moneyline bet here.

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Schedule & Odds

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NBA Betting News

  • Celtics +300 to win NBA Title

    The Boston Celtics are +300 to win the 2021-22 NBA Championship, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The Celtics are +300 ahead of their home date with the Warriors for Game 6. We will see a considerable odds shift if the Celtics can win Game 6 on their homecourt. Boston was +310 after Game 5.

  • Celtics vs. Warriors over/under listed at 210

    The over/under for Game 6 of the NBA Finals between the Boston Celtics and the Golden State Warriors is listed at 210, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The total for this contest sits at 210, down from the 210.5 it opened at. 60 percent of the public action has come on the over.

  • Warriors -400 to win NBA Championship

    The Golden State Warriors are -400 to win the NBA Championship, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    Golden State now sits at a prohibitive -400 to win the NBA Championship. For comparison, Stephen Curry MVP is -360. Andrew Wiggins, the dark horse to steal the award with a big close-out game, sits at +2000.

  • Celtics +310 to win NBA Championship

    The Boston Celtics are +310 to win the 2021-22 NBA Championship, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The Celtics peaked as high as high as -230 prior to Game 3 and now sit at an attractive +310. Boston entered the season at +4000. The odds could swing wildly again if Boston wins Game 6.

  • Warriors vs. Celtics over/under listed at 210.5

    The over/under for Game 5 of the NBA Finals between the Golden State Warriors and the Boston Celtics is listed at 210.5, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The total for this contest sits at 210.5, down from the 212.5 it opened at. 72 percent of the public action has come on the over.