MLB Betting Pick of the Day: Best Baseball Pick Today 6/9/21
Here is our best MLB Betting Pick of the Day, including the Best Baseball Pick Today 6/9/21. All odds for June 9 MLB bet picks were obtained from BetMGM, which offers new players a Risk-Free Bet of up to $600. Click here to sign up, claim this welcome promotion, and place 2021 MLB bets.
Last night I took a chance on the Giants in the first five. In those first five innings, the Giants had plenty of chances. They had a single off the fence and a runner thrown out at home in the same inning. So we took the push instead. You’ll see that I now have three ties on my first five bets. It truly pays to take the moneyline over taking that -.5 spread at times.
As always, you can find my bets — including any late additions to the card — on my Twitter page @Jason_Radowitz. Now, here are some tips for my Best Baseball Pick Today 6/9/21.
- Overall: 14-9 (+2.89 units)
- Team Totals: 6-4 (+.9 units)
- First 5 IP Bets: 4-3-3 (+.34 units)
- Moneylines: 3-2 (+.65 units)
- Totals: 1-0 (+.83 units)
MLB Betting Pick of the Day: Best Baseball Picks Today 6/9/21
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Oakland Athletics (3:37 p.m. ET)
- Probable Pitchers: RHP Matt Peacock (ARI) vs. LHP Sean Manaea (OAK)
Diamondbacks Over 3.5 runs scored (+115)
Wager: .75 units
Arizona Diamondbacks Over 3.5 Runs Scored vs. Oakland Athletics
Bet $20, Payout $43
Sean Manaea is coming off a complete game shut-out against the Mariners. He went the full nine innings in that game while allowing just four hits and two walks with eight strikeouts. However, he went a little over his pitch count and threw 111 pitches to finish the start. Usually when pitchers go deeper in games, they’ll struggle in their next start. But this isn’t the only reason I’m backing the Diamondbacks today. The projected lineup of the Diamondbacks has destroyed lefties this season. In the last 30 days, the lineup has a combined .223 isolated power against lefties along with a .400 weighted on-base average against lefties.
On top of that, the D-Backs rarely strikeout against lefties, striking out just 16 percent of the time, and are walking 9 percent of the time in the last 30 days against lefties. Manaea has struck out just 18.2 percent of right-handed batters in the last 30 days and the last 88 plate appearances. The Diamondbacks figure to have eight righties and Pavin Smith in the lineup. Because the A’s are the home team, the Diamondbacks get an extra bat in the lineup instead of using the pitcher.
Manaea has allowed 54 percent of hard contact in his last 123 plate appearances, and the Diamondbacks should have a lineup that is hitting 48.6 percent hard contact against lefties in the last 30 days.
Cleveland Indians @ St. Louis Cardinals (8:15 p.m. ET)
- Probable Pitchers: RHP JC Mejia (CLE) vs. RHP Adam Wainwright (STL)
No-Run First Inning (-135)
Wager: 1.50 units
No-Run First Inning (NRFI) June 9: Indians @ Cardinals
Bet $20, Payout $35
I’m usually not suckered into these types of bets, although I know The Game Day family loves these bets. However, I think I found a spot for the no runs first inning hype.
Adam Wainwright will take the hill for the Cardinals. He hasn’t been great as of late, striking out less than 19 percent of batters in the last 30 days, but he’s getting the job done. The only thing that’s hurting Wainwright are the home runs. He’s allowed five homers in the last three starts, and it’s coming from both sides of the plate. Nonetheless, he should be fine against the Indians.
The Indians projected a lineup, and the likely 1-2-3 hitters will be Cesar Hernandez, Amed Rosario, and Jose Ramirez. Of course, Ramirez is the only threat of those three. Behind him would be Eddie Rosario. Hernandez is striking out nearly 25 percent of the time against righties and rarely walks at just 7.2 percent of the time. He’s also shown no power against righties recently and isn’t getting on base consistently.
Rosario also has lacked power, and while he’s limiting strikeouts, he’s still not walking at a high rate and has been a bit lucky with a batting average of balls in play sitting at .349. Lastly, for the Indians, Jose Ramirez has shown off power against righties and while he’s the best bat in the lineup, he’s not having the best of years. He’s struggling when putting the ball in play and continues to find gloves against righties. If Wainwright keeps the ball in the yard, he should get through the first inning with no runs.
JC Mejia, on the other hand, will get the start for the Indians. He’s been terrific but is still on a pitch count of around 65 pitches. He’s striking out 33.3 percent of batters and waking less than 7.5 percent of batters. The Cardinals’ first three batters will be Tommy Edman, Dylan Carlson, and Paul Goldschmidt. If Mejia can escape facing Nolan Arenado in the first inning, that would be ideal.
Edman has really struggled getting on base against righties this season and there have been questions if he should still be the lead-off hitter for the Cardinals with how things are going. Carlson and Goldschmidt walk at a solid rate but have weighted on-base averages less than .350 against righties in the last 30 days. Since pitching in the majors, Mejia has limited power and hasn’t really put many runners on base to begin with.
Both pitchers should excel in tonight’s game against offenses that haven’t performed in the last month or so.