A.J. Brown 2021 Fantasy Football Outlook: Does Julio Jones Hurt His Draft Value?

Frank AmmiranteFantasy Sports & Betting Writer
Posted: Jun 10, 2021Last updated: Jun 10, 2021

Frank Ammirante offers his A.J. Brown 2021 Fantasy Football Tip. The third-year wideout will look to take his game to the next level as the alpha WR1 for the Titans. Will Julio Jones’ arrival via trade hurt A.J. Brown’s 2021 fantasy football draft value?

A.J. Brown 2021 Fantasy Football Outlook

A.J. Brown 2020 Fantasy Football Recap

Brown finished his sophomore season with 70 receptions, 1,075 yards, and 11 touchdowns in 14 games. He really came on down the stretch, catching 32-of-44 targets for 680 yards and six touchdowns in his last eight games (includes postseason).

A.J. Brown 2020 Fantasy Football Ranking (PPR)

#54 Overall, WR12

A.J. Brown 2020 Stats:

  • 70 receptions
  • 1,075 yards
  • 11 touchdowns
  • 15.4 YPC
  • 14 games


A.J. Brown 2021 Fantasy Football Outlook

Now entering his age-24 season, Brown is poised for a monster season with the vacated targets left behind by Corey Davis and Jonnu Smith. That won’t come without a big challenge, though.

Brown and his teammates on offense will be working under a new coordinator in Todd Downing, who was promoted from tight ends coach to replace the departing Arthur Smith. At least this is an in-house replacement, so we could see Downing implement a similar scheme to Smith’s.

Brown has finished as WR6 and WR30 in PPR points per game in his first two seasons in the NFL, despite receiving only 106 and 84 targets. The former Ole Miss star should be able to eclipse 130 targets this year, which gives him massive upside with his playmaking ability.

Brown has posted 20.2 and 15.4 yards per reception along with 7.4 and 6.1 yards after catch per reception so far ib his first two seasons. He’s a threat to take it to the house on any play. Brown is also a beast in the red zone, totaling 19 touchdowns in 30 career games.

A.J. Brown 2021 Fantasy Football Draft Value (PPR)

Over Memorial Day weekend, the Titans acquired Julio Jones, which helps the offense tremendously but also eats into Brown’s potential target share. However, the efficiency with Julio garnering more defensive attention on the other side could outweigh Brown’s potential loss in volume.

Even with Jones in town, Brown remains a top-5 wide receiver heading into 2021 fantasy football draft season. The combination of big-play ability, touchdown equity, and potential volume is too enticing to pass up.

This is a young stud wide receiver who has the upside to finish as fantasy football’s overall WR1.

For more 2021 fantasy football draft tips, listen to our Take The Points podcast with Marcus Mosher and Adam Kramer:


Frank Ammirante

Before joining The Game Day, Frank spent three years in the fantasy sports and betting industry, writing for websites like RotoBaller and 4for4football. Frank is an active member of the fantasy baseball and fantasy football community, participating in high-stakes leagues like NFBC/NFFC as well as industry competitions like Scott Fish Bowl, RazzBowl, and TGFBI. Frank is a member of the FSWA and IBWAA. Give him a shout to talk fantasy sports and sports betting.

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