Will Sahlen Field Return Hurt Blue Jays Offense & Fantasy Baseball Future?

The Toronto Blue Jays continue to play home games at a temporary home ballpark while the world’s still in the midst of a pandemic. Their temporary home is changing soon, and that will have a seismic impact on the park factors.¬†Thus far this year, they’ve played “home” games at TD Ballpark in Dunedin, Florida. It’s played as one of the most hitter-friendly parks. Starting June 1, they’ll return to last year’s temporary home: Sahlen Field in Buffalo, New York.

Will Sahlen Field Return Hurt Blue Jays Offense?

Sahlen Field has been undergoing ballpark renovations, so the park factors may play slightly differently than they did last year. However, the only notable difference I’ve seen is moving the bullpen from on the field to beyond the outfield walls. Perhaps the change will lead to more outs made in foul territory. Still, it’s prudent to use last year’s park factors for the time being.

Sahlen Field hasn’t been nearly the offensive-amplifying ballpark as TD Ballpark. Additionally, while TD Ballpark enhances homers by 46.2%, Sahlen Field suppresses them by 24%. Fantasy baseball gamers and sports bettors need to account for the park factors shift.

Below, you’ll see a table featuring the park factors for both ballparks via ESPN’s MLB Park Factors.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1EQWcwkjCxP0MpEggss8THdANn7gG82sYZmnJWfjM98s/edit?usp=sharing

Sahlen Field: Fantasy Baseball Tip

As you can see in the table above, the park factors drop dramatically for run-scoring, homers, hits, and doubles. A return to Sahlen Field, to some degree, could hurt the Blue Jays offense.

I won’t go as far as suggesting frantically looking to offload hitters from the Blue Jays. Still, if someone’s willing to pay a king’s ransom for Vladimir Guerrero Jr. or Bo Bichette, or if they’re interested in acquiring Marcus Semien, you should listen.

Additionally, Hyun-Jin Ryu and Robbie Ray are already pitching well, and they should see a value boost with the park factor change. Further, I advise kicking the tires on Steven Matz, as his underlying stats are better than his 4.86 ERA, and the new park factors should help regression toward his 3.81 SIERA.

Related articles

Promotions

Welcome offer Caesars Sportsbook promotion

Get Up To $1,500 FREE

5 stars
Welcome offer BetMGM Sportsbook promotion

Get Up To $1,000 Risk-Free

5 stars
Welcome offer BetRivers Sportsbook promotion

Get Up To $250 Free

5 stars
Welcome offer Betway Sportsbook promotion

Get Up To $250 Risk Free Bet

5 stars

Schedule & Odds

Top Offers

NBA Betting News

  • Celtics +300 to win NBA Title

    The Boston Celtics are +300 to win the 2021-22 NBA Championship, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The Celtics are +300 ahead of their home date with the Warriors for Game 6. We will see a considerable odds shift if the Celtics can win Game 6 on their homecourt. Boston was +310 after Game 5.

  • Celtics vs. Warriors over/under listed at 210

    The over/under for Game 6 of the NBA Finals between the Boston Celtics and the Golden State Warriors is listed at 210, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The total for this contest sits at 210, down from the 210.5 it opened at. 60 percent of the public action has come on the over.

  • Warriors -400 to win NBA Championship

    The Golden State Warriors are -400 to win the NBA Championship, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    Golden State now sits at a prohibitive -400 to win the NBA Championship. For comparison, Stephen Curry MVP is -360. Andrew Wiggins, the dark horse to steal the award with a big close-out game, sits at +2000.

  • Celtics +310 to win NBA Championship

    The Boston Celtics are +310 to win the 2021-22 NBA Championship, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The Celtics peaked as high as high as -230 prior to Game 3 and now sit at an attractive +310. Boston entered the season at +4000. The odds could swing wildly again if Boston wins Game 6.

  • Warriors vs. Celtics over/under listed at 210.5

    The over/under for Game 5 of the NBA Finals between the Golden State Warriors and the Boston Celtics is listed at 210.5, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The total for this contest sits at 210.5, down from the 212.5 it opened at. 72 percent of the public action has come on the over.