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April 27 MLB Bet Picks: Kansas City Royals & Cleveland Indians Moneylines

Frank AmmiranteFantasy Sports & Betting Writer
Posted: Apr 27, 2021Last updated: Apr 27, 2021

Here’s your April 27 MLB Bet Picks for 4/27/21 MLB Bets. All odds were obtained from bet365.

I’ve been off to an awful start in betting on MLB, but I’m confident that with some more discipline, I can turn it around. It’s a long season, so there’s plenty of time to get back on track.

As always, you can find my bets, including any late additions to the card on my Twitter page @FAmmiranteTFJ.

  • Season: 53-84-3 (-37.2 units)
  • Sides: 21-23 (-1.3 units)
  • Run Lines: 1-6 (-4.3 units)
  • Game Totals: 15-29-3 (-19.3 units)
  • Team Totals: 1-6 (-6.15 units)
  • Props: 15-20 (-6.15 units)

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April 27 MLB Bet Tips

Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians, 6:10 p.m. ET

Probable Pitchers: RHP Kenta Maeda (MIN) vs. RHP Aaron Civale (CLE)

Indians (-105)

Wager: 1.05 units (win would pay 1 unit)

I got this number at +100 late last night, but the line has moved to -115, which is still great value on the Indians at home. The Twins are off to a disappointing 7-14 start to the season. Since April 10, they have gone 2-12, averaging only 3.14 runs per game during that span. What’s worse, if we take out their 12-run eruption against the A’s on April 21st, they’re putting up only 2.46 runs per game.

The Twins will go up against Aaron Civale, who is the second-best pitcher on this Indians’ staff. He’s gotten off to a strong start, putting up a 2.42 ERA (2.95 xERA) and 0.88 WHIP in 26 innings. Civale should be able to turn in a quality outing against this slumping Twins’ offense.

Kenta Maeda gets the start for the Twins and he hasn’t looked right so far, putting up a 6.11 ERA (4.48 xERA) and 1.87 WHIP in 17.2 innings. Maeda’s strikeout rate is down 13% as he’s struggled with control. His Called-Strike-Whiff Rate (CSW) has decreased from 32.8% to 27.3%.

The Indians are playing better baseball with advantages on the mound and with home field, so they look like a great value as a home underdog.


Kansas City Royals at Pittsburgh Pirates, 6:35 p.m. ET

Probable Pitchers: RHP Jakob Junis (KC) vs. LHP Tyler Anderson (PIT)

Royals (-115)

Wager: 1.2 units (win would pay 1 unit)

The Royals are red-hot right now, currently on a five-game winning streak while leading the AL Central with a 14-7 record. They take on a Pirates team that has played well at 11-11, but they remain one of the worst teams in baseball. This is their first game back in Pittsburgh after a successful nine-game road trip, where they went 6-3.

Jakob Junis gets the call for Kansas City. He added a new cutter to his arsenal, which has been highly effective so far, as hitters have posted a .137 wOBA against the pitch. Junis has increased his swinging-strike rate by 1.7% so far this season. He should be able to turn in a quality outing against one of the weakest lineups in baseball.

On the other side, Tyler Anderson has been solid so far, putting up a 17.2 K-BB% in 20.2 innings, but this isn’t a matchup to fear. Anderson is a mediocre pitcher who posted a 4.37 ERA and 6.2 K-BB% in 59.2 innings last season. The Royals don’t strike out often (17.3 K%, 1st in MLB), so they could work Anderson’s pitch count and get to this Pirates bullpen.

The Royals are the better team with a pitching advantage at a cheap price as a road favorite.


After reading April 27 MLB Bet Tips and 4/27/21 MLB Bets, step on the field and make your MLB picks for April 20. Read the rest of our MLB betting tips for April 27 and beyond — and check out our favorite welcome offers from our partners. 👇

Author

Frank Ammirante

Before joining The Game Day, Frank spent three years in the fantasy sports and betting industry, writing for websites like RotoBaller and 4for4football. Frank is an active member of the fantasy baseball and fantasy football community, participating in high-stakes leagues like NFBC/NFFC as well as industry competitions like Scott Fish Bowl, RazzBowl, and TGFBI. Frank is a member of the FSWA and IBWAA. Give him a shout to talk fantasy sports and sports betting.

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