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Bet DK Metcalf to lead the NFL in receiving yards

Tim HeaneyManaging Editor
Posted: Sep 10, 2020Last updated: Jan 8, 2021
DK Metcalf celebrates with Seattle Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson during a 2019 game

As the 2020 NFL season approaches, football bettors have to take more uncontrollable circumstances into account opportunities to ride a talented team or player to a shiny return on a wager. Enter a DK Metcalf bet.

My typical aim for betting articles isn’t to say, ‘Patrick Mahomes will lead the league in passing,’ or, ‘Christian McCaffrey will lead the league in total yards.’ Aim higher. Go for a bigger return on your NFL betting investment. Here’s my favorite player prop bet on DraftKings Sportsbook:

Most Receiving Yards in the NFL

D.K. Metcalf, WR, Seattle Seahawks (+6000)

His odds are so long on DraftKings because questions yet again surround how many attempts Russell Wilson will log. A run-first offense doesn’t usually produce many receiving leaders — oh wait, the Saints’ Michael Thomas did that in 2019. So there’s hope. Here’s why the physical freak could break the internet and NFL defenses in 2020.

Bet on DK Metcalf’s Deep-Play Potential

However, among wide receivers with 100-plus targets last year, Metcalf ranked seventh with an Average Depth of Target (aDOT) of 13.0 yards, so he can do damage on fewer opportunities than many other WR1s. The three big names who finished ahead of him — Mike Evans, Kenny Golladay, and Odell Beckham — offer odds no longer than +2800 (OBJ’s). Curtis Samuel and John Brown aren’t listed but shouldn’t get consideration here.

Bet on DK Metcalf’s Maturing Football Knowledge

Another early scouting knock on Metcalf was that his route-running would be an issue. That he could just be a go-route guy. I’m not saying camp video means everything, but any sign of a physical freak (6-foot-4, 229 pounds) becoming a more technically sound wideout is worth noting:
https://twitter.com/mattyfbrown/status/1295102380481097729

Bet on DK Metcalf’s Target Upside

Plus, will the run game have a healthy Chris Carson for 16 contests? The depth behind him (Carlos Hyde, DeeJay Dallas) is suspect, which leads me to believe Seattle will let Danger Russ loose. Sure, safety Jamal Adams’ arrival helps the defense, but this isn’t the Legion of Boom from their glory days. Expect Seattle to have to throw more often late in games. And even if Wilson doesn’t budge in his ranking among passing attempts, Metcalf’s downfield prowess could help him cash in anyway. Metcalf’s upside is absurdly high in his second season, and he’s favorably priced to maximize the return on a talented player. Make an affordable DK Metcalf bet for a chance at an internet-breaking payout.

Author

Tim Heaney

Before joining The Game Day, Tim spent more than a decade in the fantasy sports and betting industry. Having written for ESPN, RotoWire, and USA TODAY, Tim earned an FSWA award nomination for Best MLB Print Article and multiple Top-5 finishes in fantasy baseball rankings contests. Tim has competed in Tout Wars (1 championship), LABR, Scott Fish Bowl, NFBC/NFFC, TGFBI, and RazzBowl (recent 4th-overall finish out of 200+). Drop him a line about TV, music, craft beer & pro wrestling.

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