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Champions League Predictions | Semifinals

Last Updated: Apr 30, 2024

Just four teams remain in the 2024 Champions League, and the highly-anticipated action returns this week.

After eliminating Manchester City in a dramatic penalty shootout, Real Madrid will face German giants Bayern Munich in a mouth-watering two-legged tie that kicks off Tuesday at the Allianz Arena.

The first leg of the other semifinal matchup will also take place in Germany, where Dortmund will host Ligue 1 champions PSG on Wednesday.

Let’s examine the latest Champions League odds and make our best bets for the semifinals.

Champions League Semifinal Odds

Use The Game Day’s soccer lines comparison tool for the latest UCL Winner Odds. Select “UCL" from the drop-down menu and search for your preferred matchup.

Champions League Semifinal Best Bets

Draw No Bet: PSG (-125)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit

Getting a result at Signal Iduna Park is far from easy, especially with the atmosphere that “the Yellow Wall" creates, but I worry a bit for Dortmund in this tie.

PSG are the far more talented team, and the Champions League is their sole focus now after clinching the Ligue 1 title at the weekend.

The French side has won both of its previous away legs in the knockout stages, defeating Real Sociedad 2-1 in the last 16 and overcoming a first-leg defeat with a 4-1 over Barcelona at the Nou Camp.

PSG also have the best player on the pitch, and arguably in the world, in Kylian Mbappé, who can turn any game on its head with his moments of individual brilliance.

This Dortmund squad doesn’t have the talent to match the Parisiens, and it could be rattled after Saturday’s 4-1 loss at RB Leipzig left them five points out of the top four in the Bundesliga.

With the away goals rule no longer in effect, UCL first legs have been more free-flowing and higher-scoring, which should suit PSG on Wednesday.

Even if the visitors don’t establish a first-leg advantage, this UCL best bet is void if the match ends in a draw.

Vinícius Júnior to Score or Assist (+110)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit

In Tuesday’s opening semifinal match, I’m backing Real Madrid’s Vinícius Júnior to record at least one goal contribution at the Allianz Arena.

The Brazilian winger is a handful for defenders with his pace and skill, and he should have an advantage on the left flank against a slower Bayern Munich defense.

Viní Jr. provided two assists across Madrid’s quarterfinal two-legged tie with Manchester City, bringing him to seven goal contributions (three goals, four assists) in seven Champions League appearances this season.

In this away leg, he should have opportunities on the counter-attack, where Los Blancos are particularly devastating.

I’ll back Madrid’s talisman to make an impact at plus-money odds.

Champions League Winner Prediction

Real Madrid (+140)

For in-depth analysis, head to The Game Day’s Champions League winner odds page.

Author

John Arlia

Before joining The Game Day, John served as the National Writer for the United Soccer League, where he primarily covered the USL Championship out of the league’s headquarters in Tampa, FL. A devout soccer fan, John attended the men’s World Cups in Brazil and Russia and can’t wait for the 2026 edition to come to North America. Having also written for Sporting News Canada since getting his master’s from the Walter Cronkite School of Journalism at ASU, John has acquired a diverse sporting background, but considers football, golf, and soccer his three strong suits.

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