2021 Marlins Prop Bets: Miami Futures Odds & Picks for Sixto Sanchez & Sterling Marte
For the 2021 MLB Preseason, The Game Day has compiled 2021 Marlins Prop Bets, including Miami’s futures odds and picks. Here are a few 2021 Miami Marlins Player Prop and Team Prop wagers that MLB bettors can try to take advantage of.
The Miami Marlins surprised MLB fans in 2020 by finishing second in the NL East with a 31-29 record.
Miami Marlins Futures Bets: 2021 Team & Player Props
Player Props & Futures
National League Cy Young (Bet365)
- Sixto Sanchez (+3300)
- Pablo Lopez (+5000)
Both Sixto Sanchez and Pablo Lopez are long shots to win the NL Cy Young award in 2021. Sanchez is a rising star and had a nice debut in 2020. In limited time – 39 innings – he induced ground balls at a 58 percent rate, limited home runs and finished with a 3.46 ERA. Advanced ERA metrics like FIP, xFIP and SIERA suggest he should have had closer to a 4 ERA. His K/9 rate was a paltry 7.62, and he never showed the ability to strike out many batters in his 5 years in the minors, despite possessing a 99MPH fastball and a nasty changeup. The low strikeout rate will severely limit his chances of winning a Cy Young, as will playing on a team that is likely to finish no higher than third in the division. Perhaps as he develops his repertoire in the coming years he will strike more batters out and improve his ERA, but until then, he is not worth putting money on to win the Cy Young.
Pablo Lopez has shown promise, but like Sanchez, does not have the strikeout stuff to legitimately compete for a Cy Young award. The key to his game is inducing ground balls, which he does at nearly a 50% rate for his career. Lopez will be an asset for the Marlins’ rotation but do not waste money betting on him to win the Cy Young this season.
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Miami Marlins Futures Bets: 2021 Team Props
OVER 70.5 Wins (-110) (BetMGM)
Miami Marlins To Win Over 70.5 Games in 2021
Bet $20, Payout $38
A second-place finish in the NL East last season caught many baseball fans by surprise. Somehow the Marlins finished with a winning record despite a -41 run differential. Their xW/L (Expected Win/Loss Record) was 26-34, suggesting that they outperformed the background data.
The Marlins’ team 96 wRC+ was good for eighteenth in the MLB, behind Philadelphia and Washington. They were in the bottom third of the MLB in ISO, slugging%, wOBA, fWAR, home runs, runs and RBI, and were top 10 in K% and BABIP. That suggests Miami had some luck on their side last season. The small sample size of 60 games likely played into their favor, and if they end up with similar metrics this season, it will be harder for them to outperform those metrics.
That being said, Miami is coming into the 2021 season with a talented young group of starting pitchers. Sanchez and Lopez’s rotation-mates include Sandy Alcantara and Elieser Hernandez, who are promising young pitchers.
Starling Marte is a stud in the outfield and with the bat, and offseason acquisition Adam Duvall will help provide some power from left field that the team lacked in 2020.
This is not going to be a spectacular team, but the Marlins should be good enough to hit the over here. Remember, they only need to win 71 games for an over 70.5 bet to win, and they have enough talent to do that, despite the ugly metrics from last season.
After you read The Game Day’s “2021 Marlins Prop Bets: Miami Futures Odds & Picks” and deciding on your favorite Marlins Player and Team Prop Bets:
- Dig into our complete 2021 MLB Preseason Futures Bet Guide, which is constantly updated with new 2021 MLB futures analysis, tips and picks.
- Use these 2021 MLB Futures betting tips to place a wager at one of our partner sportsbooks. PointsBet is offering a welcome promotion of 2 Risk-Free Bets for up to $2,000. Claim this offer now by signing up.
- Stare down your opponents in your fantasy baseball drafts and leagues with our 2021 Fantasy Baseball Draft Guide, which will also be continuously updated this preseason.