Buccaneers Super Bowl Prop Bets, Tips & Picks: Mike Evans Could Be Major Matchup Problem

Read the best Buccaneers Super Bowl Prop Bets, Tips and Picks for this year’s NFL Championship, including Tom Brady Super Bowl Props. Bucs Super Bowl Prop odds and lines come from PointsBet. Bucs Prop Odds are current as of Thursday night. 

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Check out Chiefs-Buccaneers Bet Tips and Chiefs-Buccaneers picks in the Super Bowl 55 Betting Guide.

Buccaneers Super Bowl Prop Bets & Tips

Tom Brady & Patrick Mahomes to combine for 650+ passing yards (+110)

T.Brady + P.Mahomes
Combine 650+ PassYds(+110)

KC @ TB | 02/07, 6:30 PM

Okay, okay. So seeing this combo Name a Bet prop over at PointsBet … at first glance, I thought, “Hey, that is a ton of yards.” However, once I broke it down, I’m comfortable with this Bucs Super Bowl prop.

First off, Super Bowl 55 features two of the best passing units in the NFL. How good are they? Well, the Chiefs finished the regular season as the No. 1 team in passing yards (303.4) while the Buccaneers finished No. 2 (289.1). Meanwhile, defensively, the Chiefs yielded the 14th fewest passing yards per game (236.2) while the Buccaneers surrendered the 12th most (246.6). 

Consider two Tom Brady Super Bowl prop bets, including his combined yardage with Patrick Mahomes.

Consider two Tom Brady Super Bowl prop bets, including his combined yardage with Patrick Mahomes. (USA TODAY Sports)

This matchup is built for both Patrick Mahomes and Tom Brady to light it up, much like they did back in their Week 12 encounter in which they combined for 807 yards. Mahomes passed for 462 yards, and Brady threw for 345.

Both teams should also be fully healthy at pass catcher. Antonio Brown (knee) and Sammy Watkins (calf) are expected to play barring a setback with their respective injuries. 

Theoretically, Mahomes and Brady need to pass for 325 yards apiece to push. Including the playoffs, Mahomes passed for 325+ yards eight times this season while Brady passed for 325+ eight times as well. 


Mike Evans to get 60+ receiving yards and 1+ touchdowns (+150)

Mike Evans
60+ Rec Yds & 1+ TDs(+150)

KC @ TB | 02/07, 6:30 PM

The Buccaneers are loaded at pass-catcher with depth all over the place. However, the one constant has been Mike Evans. While Evans didn’t have the greatest year reception or yardage-wise, ending 2020 with a career-low in targets (109), his third-fewest receptions (70), and his second-fewest yards (1006), he made up for it in the scoring department. Evans set a new career-best in touchdowns with 13. If we include the postseason, Evans finished with 15 scores up to this point. 

Of those 15 scores, he found the end zone in 12 different games out of 19 appearances. Evans scored a touchdown in 63.2% of games played. 

In only seven games, however, Evans managed 60+ receiving yards. This is the more difficult leg of the wager to hit. Of the games in which Evans went for 60+ yards, he only scored in four of them. 

Getting (+150) odds on this combo wager, I would certainly take a shot here. However, if you don’t trust Evans to go north of 60+ yards but you do like him to score, you can pivot to his anytime touchdown scorer prop at (+115) odds. While you do lose a little bit of your profit, it is the safer route. Moreover, you are still in the plus in the odds category. 

Back in the Week 12 meeting with the Chiefs, Evans went for 3/50/2 line on nine targets. 


Leonard Fournette to get 50+ rushing yards and 1+ touchdowns (+170)

 

Leonard Fournette
50+rush yds & 1+ TDs(+170)

KC @ TB | 02/07, 6:30 PM

In my props article last week, I included this Leonard Fournette combo prop with him going for 50+ yards on the ground with a score at similar odds — by the way, my props went 3-0 on Championship Sunday, but who’s keeping track anyway?

For Super Bowl 55, I believe Fournette will once again come through. 

In three postseason outings, Fournette has totaled 74+ yards with a touchdown, popping for 100+ total and a score in two of those games. We aren’t focusing on total yards here. However. I just wanted to pump up my guy “Playoff Lenny.”

What we need here is rushing production and touchdowns. In the aforementioned three playoff appearances this season, Fournette would have hit this combo wager. He’s rushed for 55+ yards and a score in all three games. He’s also had 12+ carries in those contests (12, 17, 19). The more carries, the more yards (55, 63, 93). 

While Jones was the featured back in the Week 12 meeting between the Chiefs and Buccaneers, I do expect Tampa Bay to roll with the hot hand. In that game, though, Jones did manage 66 rushing yards with a touchdown.

Like I did above in my Mike Evans write-up, if you don’t trust the yards, just pivot to the anytime touchdown scorer prop. Fournette’s is at (+110) odds. 


Largest Match Lead Under 16.5 points (+100)

KC-TB Largest Lead
Under 16.5 Pts(+100)

KC @ TB | 02/07, 6:30 PM

To keep things interesting, I do want to include a team prop. The Over/ Under on largest match lead is enticing, especially with the Under set at (+100) odds. 

Sure, both the Chiefs and Buccaneers are capable of laying out their opponent with a Mike Tyson-like uppercut, but I believe the Super Bowl will remain closer than 16.5 points. 

In the regular-season meeting between Tampa Bay and Kansas City, the Buccaneers did fall behind 17 points in the first quarter, but they also climbed out of that hole. However, for this bet, you would have lost. 

As I eluded to in my Super Bowl 55 Betting Tips — you can read that here — this is a different Buccaneers club. They caught fire since their Week 13 bye. This game will be more of a punch-by-punch main-event fight than one-sided domination. In fact, we have seen the Buccaneers blow out teams since Week 13 more so than we have seen the Chiefs in that period. 


Tom Brady Over 2.5 passing touchdowns (+125)

Tom Brady
Over 2.5 Pass TDs(+125)

KC @ TB | 02/07, 6:30 PM

If you like the Over on Super Bowl 55’s 56.5 point total, then you are anticipating a high-scoring affair. In that scenario, you’d have to expect Tom Brady to air out the football early and often to his talented slew of pass-catchers. 

At (+125) odds, I, love the Over on Brady to throw for more than 2.5 touchdowns. Back in Week 12’s meeting with the Chiefs, Brady threw for three scores. In the regular and postseason combined, Brady threw 3+ scores in eight of his 19 games. In fact, in five games since Week 16, Brady threw for 3+ scores three times. 

The Chiefs have played in 18 games this season, including the postseason. In five of those games, they allowed a quarterback to throw for 3+ scores. While they have not surrendered 3+ scores to a signal-caller in two playoff games this season, they have given up 3+ passing touchdowns in five of their past 15 games since Week 5.


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