Mac Jones NFL Draft 2021 Prospect Profile: First-Round Pick For QB-Desperate Team?
This is The Game Day’s Mac Jones NFL Draft 2021 Prospect Profile. After you read our Mac Jones Scouting Report, Marcus Mosher’s first 2021 NFL Mock Draft for Round 1.
Mac Jones NFL Draft Prospect Profile
Mac Jones 2021 Draft: Bio & Measurables
- College: Alabama
- Height: 6-foot-3
- Weight: 214 lbs.
- Class in Final Season: Junior
Mac Jones: Scouting Report
- Strong leadership skills with high football IQ
- Good pocket presence with strong accuracy
- Played at a high level in his final season at Alabama
- Awareness to make the right play
- Needs to play within structure and offensive scheme
- Struggles with off-script plays
- Fits profile of QB who requires strong supporting cast to reach full potential
- Average arm strength
- Needs to hit the weight room
Mac Jones NFL Outlook
Jones put a stamp on his Alabama career this past season, going off for 4,500 yards (11.2 Y/A), 41 touchdowns and four interceptions. This was his only season with elite production.
He helps make up for average arm strength with strong pocket presence and a high football IQ. Jones performed well against strong competition in the Southeastern Conference (SEC).
He was surrounded by a stacked supporting cast at Alabama, which leads to questions surrounding his ability to carry a team at the professional level.
Jones struggles with off-script plays, so it’s best for him to play in a scheme that suits his talents, surrounded by talented pass-catchers and blockers. Jones has adequate mobility to help him evade the pass rush.
NFL coaches will likely fall in love with his strong leadership and football awareness. Jones has the work ethic to succeed at the professional level, but he looks more like a potential starter rather than a franchise quarterback.
Mac Jones NFL Comparison
A.J. McCarron: Jones looks similar to another former Alabama quarterback in McCarron, but with a bit more upside.
Like McCarron, Jones has average arm strength with only adequate mobility. Both quarterbacks performed well against strong competition but were surrounded by an elite supporting cast.
While McCarron had three years of production and Jones only has one full season, they have similar measurables and traits as passers. McCarron could have had a better career if he was surrounded by the right scheme and pass-catchers. Jones’ upside for growth will likely depend on his landing spot more than the other quarterbacks in this class.
Mac Jones NFL Draft: Team Fits
The Texans don’t have a first-round pick, but they would acquire a treasure trove of draft picks if they trade disgruntled franchise QB Deshaun Watson.
This would leave them with a clear need at QB, which opens up an opportunity for Jones. New head coach David Culley would have a chance to groom a young QB in his first year.
In terms of the situation, this is not the best landing spot for Jones. The Texans will be rebuilding. But in terms of probability, this looks like a reasonable outcome.
The Broncos look like they’re starting to lose faith in starting quarterback Drew Lock, so we could see them try to address the position once again in this year’s draft.
This would be a fantastic landing spot for Jones because he’ll be surrounded by young and talented weapons like tight end Noah Fant as well as wide receivers Jerry Jeudy, Courtland Sutton and K.J. Hamler.
Jones would have familiarity with Jeudy, having played with him at Alabama. This would allow the Broncos to have an open competition at QB between Lock and Jones, perhaps bringing out the best of each passer.
Washington Football Team
This would be another solid landing spot for Jones.
Washington has some young talent on offense in wide receiver Terry McLaurin and running back Antonio Gibson. They also have an impressive defense, loaded with first-round picks like Chase Young, Montez Sweat, Jonathan Allen and Daron Payne. In Washington, Jones would not be forced to carry the team like he would in Houston.
He could act as the game manager in a ball-control offense that leans on its defense.
Of course, Jones could also sit behind Kyle Allen (or compete with Taylor Heinicke) in Year 1.
Mac Jones NFL Draft Prediction
Round 1, Pick 27 (trade with Baltimore Ravens): Denver Broncos
We have seen teams trade up in the later stages of the first round to acquire a quarterback in recent years: Jordan Love (2020), Lamar Jackson (2018) and Paxton Lynch (2016) are a few examples.
I think the same will happen with Jones this year, with the Broncos moving up from Pick 40 into the second round to pick up an additional first-rounder and take a quarterback once again.
Drew Lock does not look like the answer, so this team needs to take another shot on a passer. This move could happen if the Broncos miss out on one of the top tier quarterbacks in the Top 10.
Mac Jones 2021 NFL Draft Bets
The only draft prop available at BetMGM right now is to bet on who will be selected first overall. This is clearly out of the cards for Jones. He’s currently listed at +26000 to go first overall, which is simply a wasted bet.
I would monitor the situation to see if any sportsbooks come out with a prop on whether Jones will be selected in the first round.
We could also see something like a total on how many quarterbacks are taken in the first. If the number is at 4.5, I would take the Over. With so many teams having a clear need at quarterback, I firmly believe that a team will move up to take Jones.
Now that you’ve read our Mac Jones draft prospect and scouting report, stay tuned after the 2021 NFL Draft for his impact on betting lines, odds and tips for his likely NFL team.
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