Best MLB Bets Today: MLB Pick Of The Day 8/31/21

Here is our best MLB Betting Pick Of The Day, including the Best Baseball Pick Today, 8/31/21. All odds for August 31 MLB bet picks were obtained from PointsBet.

Yesterday I mentioned the possibility of pushing on our wager, and sure enough that’s exactly what happened. While it’s not the most exciting outcome in the world, at least we got our money back, which gives us a chance to try again with one of my best MLB bets today.

MLB Pick Today

prop bet

-110

Cincinnati Reds: Over 2.5 Runs In 1st 5 Innings (CIN vs. STL, 8/31)

STL @ CIN | 08/31, 6:40 PM ET

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For in-depth analysis of this MLB pick of the day, continue reading.

Season Betting Record

  • Overall: 34-21 (+9.16 units)
  • Team Totals: 12-7 (+2.62 units)
  • First 5 IP Bets: 18-8-3 (+8.39 units)
  • Moneylines: 3-3 (-0.5 units)
  • Totals: 1-2 (-1.35 units)

Sportsbook Play of the Day

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MLB Bet Of The Day 8/31/21

St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds (6:40 p.m. ET)

  • Probable Pitchers: STL RHP Miles Mikolas @ CIN RHP Sonny Gray

The Cincinnati Reds’ offense has cooled off a bit lately but is still having an excellent second half, averaging 5.1 runs per game and leading all teams with 69 home runs. The Reds have also feasted on right-handed pitchers all season long, leading MLB with 515 runs and a .337 wOBA against righties this year.

That bodes well for their matchup tonight against Miles Mikolas, who is still trying to regain his footing after missing all of 2020 and most of 2021 with arm injuries. He’s only made three starts this season and has yet to complete more than five innings in any of them, so he doesn’t appear to be back at full strength yet.

Mikolas is coming off a rough road outing against the Pittsburgh Pirates — one of the worst teams in baseball this year. He allowed three runs on eight hits and one walk over 4 1/3 innings while striking out just three of the 22 batters he faced. If the Pirates can have that kind of success against Mikolas, then this Reds matchup could be a struggle for him.

The 33-year-old’s batted-ball distribution is also concerning, as he’s yielded 19 fly balls and 10 line drives while inducing just 11 ground balls over his last two starts. While only one of those hits left the yard, there’s a good chance he’ll surrender at least one home run to Cincinnati, who lead MLB with a 16.3% HR/FB rate.

As good as the Reds’ offense has been this season, they’ve been even better at home with an .800 OPS and 5.5 runs per game at Great American Ball Park. They also have a deep, power-laden lineup with good balance between righties and lefties, making them tough to navigate for any pitcher. Look for them to get back on track against Mikolas at home, making this one of the best MLB betting picks of the day.

Baseball Bet Of The Day: Cincinnati Reds Over 2.5 Runs In 1st 5 Innings (-110)

Wager: 1.05 Units

prop bet

-110

Cincinnati Reds: Over 2.5 Runs In 1st 5 Innings (CIN vs. STL, 8/31)

STL @ CIN | 08/31, 6:40 PM ET

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Thanks for reading our August 31 Best MLB Bet Pick! For more MLB bet tips today, check out our August 31 NRFI Bet and August 31 HR Bet.

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Schedule & Odds

Top Offers

NBA Betting News

  • Celtics +300 to win NBA Title

    The Boston Celtics are +300 to win the 2021-22 NBA Championship, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The Celtics are +300 ahead of their home date with the Warriors for Game 6. We will see a considerable odds shift if the Celtics can win Game 6 on their homecourt. Boston was +310 after Game 5.

  • Celtics vs. Warriors over/under listed at 210

    The over/under for Game 6 of the NBA Finals between the Boston Celtics and the Golden State Warriors is listed at 210, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The total for this contest sits at 210, down from the 210.5 it opened at. 60 percent of the public action has come on the over.

  • Warriors -400 to win NBA Championship

    The Golden State Warriors are -400 to win the NBA Championship, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    Golden State now sits at a prohibitive -400 to win the NBA Championship. For comparison, Stephen Curry MVP is -360. Andrew Wiggins, the dark horse to steal the award with a big close-out game, sits at +2000.

  • Celtics +310 to win NBA Championship

    The Boston Celtics are +310 to win the 2021-22 NBA Championship, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The Celtics peaked as high as high as -230 prior to Game 3 and now sit at an attractive +310. Boston entered the season at +4000. The odds could swing wildly again if Boston wins Game 6.

  • Warriors vs. Celtics over/under listed at 210.5

    The over/under for Game 5 of the NBA Finals between the Golden State Warriors and the Boston Celtics is listed at 210.5, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The total for this contest sits at 210.5, down from the 212.5 it opened at. 72 percent of the public action has come on the over.