

<em>The Buffalo Bills visit the Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday at 6:40 p.m. ET. Here&#8217;s our complete guide to Bills-Chiefs Bet Tips. Odds and lines for Bills-Chiefs picks and AFC Championship bets are from <a class="ek-link ek-link" href="https://nj.pointsbet.com/sports/american-football/NFL/184398" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener" aria-label="PointsBet (opens in a new tab)">PointsBet</a>, current as of Monday at 8 p.m. ET.</em>
<h1 id="h-chicago-bears-8-8-at-new-orleans-saints-12-4" class="block-header">Bills-Chiefs Bet Tips &amp; Picks for AFC Championship</h1>


<h2 id="h-chicago-bears-8-8-at-new-orleans-saints-12-4" class="block-header">Bills-Chiefs Bet Tips</h2>
 

<hr class="wp-block-separator has-text-color has-background" />

 
<h3 id="h-odds-betting-lines-for-bears-saints-picks" class="block-header">Odds &amp; Betting Lines for Bills-Chiefs Picks</h3>
 
<ul>
 	<li><strong>Against The Spread:</strong> Chiefs -3 (+100) / Bills +3 (-121)</li>
 	<li><strong>Moneyline:</strong> Chiefs (-145) / Bills (+125)</li>
 	<li><strong>Total: </strong>53 &#8212; Over 53 (-121) / Under 53 (+100)</li>
 	<li><strong>Implied Team Totals:</strong> Chiefs 28, Bills 25</li>
</ul>
 

Kansas City Chiefs host Buffalo Bills with shot at Super Bowl on the line.





<hr class="wp-block-separator has-text-color has-background" />

 
<h3 id="h-bears-saints-key-injuries" class="block-header">Bills-Chiefs: Key Injuries</h3>
 
<h4 id="h-bears" class="block-header">Bills</h4>
 

The Bills&#8217; injury report is mostly clean, except for <strong>Zack Moss</strong>, who is on IR with an ankle injury. This opens up a potential lead-back role for <strong>Devin Singletary</strong>.

However, the Bills remain a pass-first offense. Last week, with Moss out, Singletary got just 7 carries, which he turned into 25 rush yards. Buffalo will likely need to play a bit more of a balanced offense to pull off the upset in the AFC title game.

 
<h4 id="h-saints" class="block-header">Chiefs</h4>
 

The status of <strong>Patrick Mahomes</strong> is clearly something that could swing this game, both on the betting side, and on the field.

Mahomes is in concussion protocol, and we don&#8217;t know if or when he will be cleared. When players are in protocol, we&#8217;ve seen them miss the next game just under 70% of the time, so the odds are not in Mahomes&#8217; favor.

If he is forced to sit, then the Chiefs will be forced to turn to<strong> Chad Henne</strong>, who came in last week and went 6-for-8 for 66 yards and 1 interception. Henne added a 13-yard run that essentially sealed the win for the Chiefs. Whether it&#8217;s Mahomes or Henne under center will likely be the difference in this one.

 
<h3 id="h-bears-saints-key-injuries" class="block-header">Bills-Chiefs: Players to Watch</h3>
 

BUF QB <strong>Josh Allen</strong> has thrown the ball at least 35 times in both of the Bills&#8217; playoff games this season, and is yet to turn the ball over. The QB has thrown for 3 passing TDs and also ran for one in the Wild-Card Round. If Allen can continue to play turnover-free football, we could see the Bills advance to their first Super Bowl since 1993.

His top target, <strong>Stefon Diggs</strong>, just keeps on producing. Diggs accounted for 106 of the Bills&#8217; 220 total yards in the team&#8217;s 17-3 win over the Baltimore Ravens last week in the Divisional Round. Expect the wideout to be heavily involved again Sunday, as he currently has the most receiving yards in the postseason (234) after leading the league in receiving yards (1,535) during the regular season as well.

<div id="attachment_3131" style="width: 1034px" class="wp-caption alignleft"><img aria-describedby="caption-attachment-3131" loading="lazy" class="wp-image-3131 size-large" src="https://thegameday.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/Stefon-Diggs-Buffalo-Bills_20201228-1-1024x624.jpg" alt="Bills-Chiefs Bet Tips &amp; Picks for AFC Championship Game: Stefon Diggs' Bills will air it out whether or not Patrick Mahomes plays " width="1024" height="624" srcset="https://api.thegameday.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/Stefon-Diggs-Buffalo-Bills_20201228-1-1024x624.jpg 1024w, https://api.thegameday.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/Stefon-Diggs-Buffalo-Bills_20201228-1-300x183.jpg 300w, https://api.thegameday.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/Stefon-Diggs-Buffalo-Bills_20201228-1-768x468.jpg 768w, https://api.thegameday.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/Stefon-Diggs-Buffalo-Bills_20201228-1-1200x731.jpg 1200w, https://api.thegameday.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/Stefon-Diggs-Buffalo-Bills_20201228-1-800x487.jpg 800w, https://api.thegameday.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/Stefon-Diggs-Buffalo-Bills_20201228-1.jpg 1500w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /><p id="caption-attachment-3131" class="wp-caption-text">Bills-Chiefs Bet Tips &amp; Picks for AFC Championship Game: Stefon Diggs&#8217; Bills will air it out whether or not Patrick Mahomes plays. (USA TODAY Sports)</p></div>

KC TE <strong>Travis Kelce</strong> caught 8 passes for 109 yards and a TD against the Browns last week. Two of those catches and 29 of those yards came on passes from Henne. No matter who starts at QB for the Chiefs, Kelce will remain a focal point of the team&#8217;s offense. The Pro Bowler led the league in receiving yards by a tight end (1,416) by a large margin, was tied for the lead in receiving TDs (11), and was second in receptions (105). He also caught two touchdown passes in the Chiefs&#8217; 26-17 win over the Bills in Week 6. Expect Kelce and <strong>Tyreek Hill </strong>to get the bulk of the targets for the Chiefs, whether it&#8217;s Henne or Mahomes throwing the passes.





 
<h3 id="h-bears-saints-key-injuries" class="block-header">Bills-Chiefs: Weather Report</h3>
 

The weather report at Arrowhead Stadium calls for mostly cloudy skies and a bit of sleet in the evening. There is expected to be a low temperature of 24 degrees Fahrenheit, a 56% chance of precipitation and wind gusts of up to 28 mph at kickoff Sunday.

<iframe loading="lazy" title="Watch Out Rodgers: Brady &amp; Bucs Peaking At The Right Time | Easy Money w/ Courtney Fallon" width="500" height="281" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/_HYULeWmyho?feature=oembed" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen></iframe>



&nbsp;
<div class="wp-block-group">
<div class="wp-block-group__inner-container">



</div>
</div>
 
<h3 id="h-bears-saints-key-injuries" class="block-header">Bills-Chiefs Picks &amp; Bet Tips</h3>
 
<h4 id="h-consider-over-47-115" class="block-header"><strong>BEST BET:</strong> Under 53 (+100)</h4>
 

This is only my best bet because we don&#8217;t know who is starting at QB for the Chiefs.

After these two teams combined for just 39 points last week, weather could be a factor come Sunday. With an initial forecast of freezing temperatures, wind gusts of close to 30 mph, and a potential sleet storm, expect these teams to lean on the run throughout the AFC Championship game.

More dependence on the ground game typically means fewer possessions and points. Also of note, when the Chiefs visited the Bills in Week 6, they put up a grand total of 43 points.

That being said, <strong>my final score prediction with Mahomes is Chiefs 27, Bills 17</strong>.

<strong>And with Henne starting, I would go with Chiefs 16, Bills 13.</strong>

They both land Under, making this my top play in this contest.
<h4 id="h-best-bet-saints-10-110" class="block-header">CONSIDER: Chiefs -3 (+100) / Bills +3 (-121)</h4>
 

This leads to my two-way consider play. If Mahomes plays, I&#8217;ll take the Chiefs -3; if he sits, then I&#8217;m on the Bills +3. The best player in the game is absolutely worth the touchdown difference, so I&#8217;ll wait and see what his status is before placing a bet on the side.

 
<h4 id="h-pass-saints-500" class="block-header">PASS: Chiefs (-145)</h4>
 

The Bills have a legit shot at winning this game outright, especially since we don&#8217;t know that status of Mahomes. I simply can&#8217;t take the Chiefs moneyline, as the Bills moneyline could ultimately be the right play here.

 

<em>Pauly Parlays is 44-32-4 on his NFL Best Bets this season.</em>

 
<h2 id="h-prepare-nfl-wild-card-weekend-betting-tips-and-plan" class="block-header">Prepare NFL Conference Championship betting tips and plan</h2>
 

After studying Bills-Chiefs Bet Tips and Bills-Chiefs Picks to decide your AFC Championship bets:

 
<ul id="block-57c01980-1dc3-4fd6-97b1-494846d03904">
 	<li>Read our <a href="https://thegameday.com/news/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">latest NFL news, analysis, tips, predictions and betting tips</a>.</li>
 	<li>Learn <a href="https://thegameday.com/how-to-bet/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">how to bet on sports, including strategies, key terms, and betting process</a>.</li>
</ul>



<ul id="block-57c01980-1dc3-4fd6-97b1-494846d03904"></ul>

Bills-Chiefs Bet Tips & Bills-Chiefs Picks: AFC Championship bets may rest solely on Patrick Mahomes playing after sustaining a concussion in the Divisional Playoffs

Bills-Chiefs Bet Tips & Picks: AFC Championship Game

PredictIt

Established:

Services:

Available In:

Payment Methods:

PredictIt Review & Bonus

Join Now

Welcome Bonus

User Experience

Payment Options

Support

Overall

TGD_Web_betJACK_16x9

Online Banking, PayPal, Cash at Casino, PayNearMe, Credit Card, Debit Card, eCheck/ACH, Bank Wire

betJACK Sportsbook Review

Mobile Experience

Overall Score

betJACK Sportsbook

DesertDiamondLogo_113022

Online Banking, Debit/Credit Card, ACH/eCheck, PayPal, Skrill, Cash at Casino Cage, PayNearMe

Desert Diamond Sportsbook Review

Get $250 First Deposit Match at Desert Diamond

Desert Diamond Sportsbook Hands-on Review

My Desert Diamond Sportsbook App Experience

Should You Bet at Desert Diamond Sportsbook?

Desert Diamond

SuperBook Sportsbook logo

PayPal, PaySafe, PLAY+, Debit/Credit Card, Wire Transfer, Cash at The Lodge Casino

Superbook Sportsbook Review

Superbook Sportsbook

Caesars_Sportsbook_Logo

NJ, PA, AZ, NV, IN, TN, WV, MD, MI, IA, CO, LA, NY, IL, WY, KS, OH, MD

Online Banking, PayPal, Cash at Casino, PLAY+, PayNearMe, Credit Card, Debit Card, eCheck ACH, Paper Check

Caesars Sportsbook Review

Caesars Sportsbook

BET MGM_Square_logo-03-01

Services: 

NJ, MI, PA, CO, IN, AZ, DC, IA, TN, VA, NV, WV, NY, LA, IL, KS, ON, MD, OH

Online Banking, PayPal, PLAY+, PayNear, Skrill, Debit/Credit Card, Gift Card, VIP Preferred e-Check, Cash at Borgata Casino, Bank Wire Transfer

BetMGM Sportsbook Review

Mobile experience

Payment options

CA - Ontario

BetMGM Sportsbook

BetRivers Sportsbook

AZ, CO, IA, IL, IN, MI, PA, VA, WV, NY, LA, OH, MD

BetRivers Sportsbook Review

TGD_Betway_Logo_1x1

Available In: 

Credit Card, Betway Play+ Card, PayPal, VIP Preferred (ACH Transfer), PayNearMe, Cash at the Casino Cage (NJ only)

Betway Sportsbook Review

Betway Sportsbook

Foxbet_Square_logo

Debit Card, Credit Card, PayNearMe, eChecks, PayPal, Resorts Casino cage, Skrill, Vanilla Direct, PokerStars Play+ Card, Bank Transfer

FOX Bet Review & Bonus

FOX Bet

TGD_BetFred_B_1x1_Logo

CO, AZ, IA, PA (under Wind Creek Sportsbook in PA), OH

Credit/Debit, VIP Preferred, Play+ Card, World Pay, PayNearMe, Cash via Casino Cashier at Wind Creek, PayPal, Paper Check

Betfred Sportsbook Review

Betfred Sportsbook

draftkings-logo

CO, IL, NJ, AZ, IN, IA, NH, PA, WV, TN, MD, MI, VA, WY, NY, CT, LA, KS, OH, MD

Credit/Debit Card, PayPal, Online Banking, Wire Transfer, ACH (eCheck), PayNearMe, DraftKings Gift Card, Play+, Casino Cage at Resorts in NJ

DraftKings Sportsbook Review

DraftKings Sportsbook

Spreads_ca

Quebec, New Brunswick, Nova Scotia, Newfoundland, Prince Edward Island, Manitoba, Alberta, Saskatchewan, British Columbia, Yukon, Nunavut, Northwest Territories

Visa/Mastercard, iDebit, InstaDebit, Interac Online, ACH Bank Transfer, Neosurf Voucher, Electronic Cheques, Checks by Mail

Spreads.ca Sportsbook Review

CA - Alberta

CA - British Columbia

CA - Manitoba

CA - New Brunswick

CA - Newfoundland and Labrador

CA - Northwest Territories

CA - Nova Scotia

CA - Nunavut

CA - Prince Edward Island

CA - Quebec

Spreads.ca Sportsbook

FanDuel Sportsbook

NJ, MD, MI, IN, IL, PA, CO, TN, WV, VA, IA, AZ, NY, LA, WY, CT, ON, KS, OH

Online Banking, PayNearMe, PayPal, Credit/Debit, Play+ Cards, Cash at the Counter

FanDuel Sportsbook Review

Does FanDuel Sportsbook Have the Best Odds?

In What States is FanDuel Sportsbook Available?

Unibet_Square_logo

Online Banking, Credit/Debit, PayNearMe, PayPal, ACH/eCheck, Play+ Card, Cash at the Cage

Unibet Sportsbook Review

Unibet Sportsbook

TGD_Tipico_1x1_Logo

ACH eCheck, Credit Card, Play+, Instant Bank Transfer, PayPal, Apple Pay, Cash at Ocean Casino

Payment Methods

Tipico Sportsbook Review

Tipico Sportsbook

WynnBET Sportsbook

ACH (Bank Transfer), Credit/Debit Card, PayPal, eCheck, Play+ Card, In-person where available

WynnBET Sportsbook Review

AL, CA, CO, DE, FL, KS, MN, NE, NH, NM, NY, ND, OH, OK, OR, RI, SD, TN, VT, WV, WI, WY

Available in:

b spot Casino Review and Promo Code

b spot Casino

Sports Illustrated Sportsbook

Established

ACH, Play+, Visa, MasterCard, Discover, Online Banking, PayNearMe

SI Sportsbook Review

My Sports Illustrated Sportsbook App Experience

SI Sportsbook

TGD_MaximBet_Logo_16x9

Services

Visa, MasterCard, Mazooma, VIP Preferred ACH

MaximBet Sportsbook Review

Use GAMEDAY for $1,000 First Deposit Match

MaximBet Sportsbook

Pulsz Casino

All States Except WA, NV, & ID, Canada Except Quebec

Online Banking, Credit Card/Debit Card: Visa, MasterCard, & AMEX, Skrill, Prizeout Gift Card

Banking Options:

Pulsz Bingo Review and Promo Code

Casino Games

Get 5,000 Gold Coins On Sign-Up, No Purchase Required

Pulsz Bingo

TGD_Lounge777_Logo_1x1 (2)

Visa, PayPal, PaySafeCard, Skrill, Neteller, CashtoCode, Cryptocurrencies

Lounge777 Casino Review and Promo Code

Lounge777 Casino

TGD_MyJackpot_Logo_1x1

Online Banking, Credit Card/Debit Card: Visa, MasterCard, Skrill, paysafecard, PayPal

MyJackpot Casino Review and Promo Code

MyJackpot Casino

Rivers Casino4Fun

Online Banking, Credit/Debit: Visa & Mastercard, Skrill, Instant Bank Transfer

Rivers Casino4Fun Review and Promo Code

Fortune Coins Casino

All States except WA and ID, Canada except Quebec

Fortune Coins Review and Promo Code

Pulsz Casino Review and Promo Code

Bet99 Logo

Interac E-Transfer, INSTADEBIT, iDebit, Credit Card, MuchBetter

Bet99 Sportsbook Review

Bet99 Sportsbook

logo_vignette_yellow (1)

AL, AR, AK, CA, CO, DC, FL, GA, IL, KS, KY, MA, MN, NE, NM, NC, ND, OK, OR, RI, SC, SD, TX, UT, WI, WV, WY, Canada (excluding Ontario)

ParlayPlay Review and Promo Code

Website Experience

Game Selection

ParlayPlay

DRF Sports_Logo_1x1

PayNearMe, Debit Card, DRF Play+, Online Banking/ACH

Payment Methods: 

DRF Sportsbook Review

DRF Sportsbook

AL, AZ, AK, CA, CO, CT, DE, FL, ID, IL, IL, IA, KS, KY, LA, MD, MA, MI, MN, MT, NE, NH, NM, NY, ND, OH, OK, OR, PA, RI, TN, VT, VA, WA, WV, WI, WY

Available in: 

DRF Bets Review & App Experience

Support 

DRF Bets Horse Racing App

TGD_SVG_16x9

AZ, AR, CA, CO, CT, DE, FL, ID, IL, IL, IA, KY, LA, MD, MA, MI, MN, MT, NH, NJ (via NJ4Bets) NM, NY, ND, OH, OR, PA, RI, SD, VT, VA, WA, WV, WY

TVG Review & App Experience

TVG Horse Racing App

TGD_TwinSpires_16x9_Blue_Logo

AL, AZ, CA, CO, CT, DE, FL, ID, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, LA, MD, MA, MI, MN, MT, NE, NH, NM, NY, ND, OH, OK, OR, PA, RI, SD, TN, VT, VA, WA, WV, WI, WY

TwinSpires Review & App Experience

TwinSpires Horse Race Betting Hands-on Review

TwinSpires Horse Racing App

TGD_TwinSpiresSportsbook_1x1_White_Logo

TwinSpires Sportsbook Review & App Experience

TwinSpires Sportsbook

TGD_ProphetExchange_Logo_16x9

Established in:

Payments Available:

Prophet Exchange Review

Prophet Exchange Peer-To-Peer Betting

TGD_WinView_Logo_16x9

WinView Games Review & Bonus

WinView Games

TGD_OwnersBox_Logo_1x1

DFS, Week-Long Fantasy, & Lightning Lineups

All states except AZ, CT, DE, HI, ID, IN, IA, LA, ME, MI, MS, NV, PA, and WA

Available in 

OwnersBox DFS Review & Bonus

OwnersBox

pointsbet_Square_logo

CO, IL, IN, IA, MD, MI, NJ, NY, PA, WV, LA, VA, PA, OH

ACH/eCheck, Credit/Debit, Online Banking, PayNearMe, PayPal, Bank Transfer

PointsBet Sportsbook Review

PointsBet Sportsbook

Fubo Sportsbook Logo

Online since

Fubo Sportsbook States

Visa, MasterCard, ACH, PayPal, Wire Transfer, Sightline

Fubo Sportsbook Review

Use Code GAMEDAY for $1,000 Risk-Free Bet

Bills-Chiefs Bet Tips & Picks: AFC Championship Game

Bills-Chiefs Bet Tips & Picks for AFC Championship

Author

Related articles

Your Betslip

Bills-Chiefs Bet Tips & Picks: AFC Championship Game

Bills-Chiefs Bet Tips & Picks for AFC Championship

Author

Share This!

Related articles

Your Betslip